Trump Says U.S. Will Not Strike Iran Again Before Midterms as Military Draws Up New Plans

  • Iran
  • Donald Trump
  • United States
  • Tehran
  • Israel
  • Washington, D.C.
  • Axios (website)
  • The Atlantic
Aerial view of the Pentagon at dusk, a few windows lit, with the Potomac River and Washington skyline fading in the background.

What happened

On Oct. 8, President Trump said on Truth Social that the U.S. will not attack Iran before the Nov. 3 midterm elections, calling talks with Tehran "productive" and saying the oil blockade stays in place. His post followed reports that the White House had asked for pre-election strike options, and the Pentagon is still preparing plans for possible new attacks.

Summary

President Trump said Thursday that the U.S. will not attack Iran before the Nov. 3 midterm elections. In a Truth Social post, he said the two countries were "having productive discussions" and described Iran as weak economically and militarily. He said the U.S. blockade of Iranian oil would stay "in full force and effect" and claimed 22 million barrels of oil moved through the Strait of Hormuz in one night, none of it Iranian. The New York Times reports that intelligence makes that claim debatable. His post followed a report in The Atlantic that the White House had asked the Pentagon for strike options before the vote, which sent oil prices up and stocks down. [1] [3] [4] [5] [7] [8] [11]

Military planning has not stopped. Axios and other outlets report that the Pentagon told U.S. Central Command to finish preparing for a possible return to major combat. The Times says Vice President JD Vance led a meeting at Camp David last Friday on a short campaign of about three days. It would hit Iran's missile and drone stockpiles, energy facilities and Revolutionary Guard command posts. Trump has vetoed five earlier proposals for major operations, the paper reports. A third aircraft carrier is on its way. The Times calls that the first three-carrier presence since 2003, while The Wall Street Journal, cited by The Hill, says it is the first since April. [1] [10] [12]

Talks through mediators keep stalling over the order of business. U.S. officials want to settle Iran's nuclear program first, and Iranian negotiators want it handled last. Trump turned down an Iranian proposal to reopen the strait in exchange for sanctions relief. Since September, Iran has struck at least 13 ships, according to a British Navy monitoring group, and U.S. commanders worry about protecting bases in the region. A White House official said things will go "the easy way or the hard way." An Israeli official said the chances of strikes rise significantly after the midterms. Hochstein, an adviser to former President Joe Biden, said the war is a significant vulnerability for Republicans. [1] [7] [9] [10] [12]

Summary written by Vox Populi News from the 12 sources below. See all sources

Key questions

When are the midterm elections Trump referred to?

Trump said the U.S. will not attack Iran before the midterm elections on Nov. 3. Israel holds its own elections on Oct. 27. [1] [4] [12]

Will the U.S. strike Iran after the midterms?

Trump did not say. Officials had expected him to decide after the Israeli and U.S. elections, but The New York Times reports that a green light is far from certain even then. [1] [8] [10]

How did oil markets react to the reports of possible strikes?

Brent crude, the international oil benchmark, rose more than 4% after The Atlantic reported on pre-election strike options, and USA Today says stocks fell as well. [4] [7]

Sources 12

  1. 1The New York Times

    Trump Says U.S. Will Not Strike Iran Again Before Midterms as Military Draws Up New Plans

    The reporters have been covering the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran. The U.S. military is preparing options to restart major combat operations against Iran, even as President Trump continues to show…

    Read on The New York Times (opens in a new tab)
  2. 2Aol

    Iran live updates: Trump says US won't attack Iran again ahead of midterms

    President Donald Trump announced "major combat operations" against Iran on Feb. 28, with massive joint U.S.-Israeli strikes targeting military, government and infrastructure sites.

    Read on Aol (opens in a new tab)
  3. 3New York Post

    Trump says US military will not attack Iran before midterm elections

    WASHINGTON -- President Trump claimed that his administration is "having productive discussions" and vowed to hold off on resuming attacks against the Islamic Republic before the midterm elections.

    Ryan King

    Read on New York Post (opens in a new tab)
  4. 4USA Today

    Trump rules out new strikes on Iran before the midterms

    WASHINGTON - President Donald Trump ruled out new U.S. strikes on Iran before the pivotal midterm elections after oil prices jumped and stocks fell over concerns that he could resume military…

    Read on USA Today (opens in a new tab)
  5. 5Washington Post

    No new attack on Iran before the midterm elections, Trump says

    The United States has no plans to attack Iran before November's midterm elections, President Donald Trump said Thursday, an unusual public pronouncement about military plans that came as he said…

    Michael Birnbaum

    Read on Washington Post (opens in a new tab)
  6. 6The Wall Street Journal

    💬 Money Quote: Trump's Latest Post on Iran and Oil

    📣 "We are having productive discussions with the Islamic Republic of Iran. I want to make it clear to everybody that, while Iran is in very bad condition, both Economically and Militarily, and while…

    Read on The Wall Street Journal (opens in a new tab)
  7. 7CBS News

    Iran War Updates: Oil prices surge as Trump reportedly considers resuming strikes before midterm elections

    Trump weighing whether to strike Iran before midterm elections, The Atlantic reports The White House has asked the Pentagon to prepare strike options for a possible resumption of attacks on Iran…

    Read on CBS News (opens in a new tab)
  8. 8POLITICO

    Trump says US won't strike Iran until after the midterms

    President Donald Trump said Thursday that the U.S. is holding off on further attacks on Iran until after the midterms, while maintaining a blockade as talks with Tehran continue.

    Jalen Beckford

    Read on POLITICO (opens in a new tab)
  9. 9Bloomberg Business

    Hochstein Says Republican Midterm Weakness Tied to War

    An adviser to former President Joe Biden said the Iran war is a significant vulnerability for Republicans and cast doubt on the political logic of escalating the conflict before the midterm…

    Ari Natter, Annmarie Hordern, Lisa Abramowicz, Jonathan Ferro

    Read on Bloomberg Business (opens in a new tab)
  10. 10Breitbart

    Report: Pentagon Orders CENTCOM to Ready Iran Strike Options as Trump Weighs Major Operations

    The Pentagon has ordered U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) to complete preparations for a possible resumption of major combat operations against Iran as President Donald Trump weighs renewed strikes…

    Joshua Klein

    Read on Breitbart (opens in a new tab)
  11. 11CNN International

    Trump says he will not attack Iran before the midterm election

    President Donald Trump announced Thursday that he has no plans to strike Iran before the midterm election.

    Alayna Treene

    Read on CNN International (opens in a new tab)
  12. 12The Hill

    White House on possible Iran strikes before midterms: Trump 'has all options'

    President Trump has "all options" available concerning the next steps with Iran, amid reports the president is weighing whether to resume major combat operations before or after elections in the U.S.

    Laura Kelly

    Read on The Hill (opens in a new tab)